The historical drama film The Imitation Game is about Alan Turing breaking the German wartime Enigma code. To solve the code, Alan Turing applied Bayes’ approach to probability, which has been termed “the theory that would not die." The Bayesian interpretation of probability reflects the incompleteness of our knowledge and is suited for mastering complexity (1). Bayes’ rule can be described in one sentence: by updating our initial beliefs (about something) with objective new information, we get … [Read more...]